Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 159.346708 174.679768 190.352313 207.541347 225.834794 244.693543 265.575821
2025-01-12 132.332723 155.020489 179.296868 207.083303 237.883341 270.856929 308.702856
2025-01-19 111.319704 138.927455 169.763345 206.452986 248.608034 295.224115 350.359992
2025-01-26 99.212783 131.110402 168.123177 213.663341 267.593579 328.842614 403.061260
2025-02-02 88.750454 123.802516 165.945728 219.399842 284.423443 360.004230 453.504735
2025-02-09 80.485013 118.087121 164.797768 225.688096 301.529578 391.473365 504.724489
2025-02-16 73.253192 112.787910 163.434886 231.143649 317.303760 421.332448 554.370816
2025-02-23 62.323860 101.394776 153.212912 224.440312 317.203087 431.363203 579.766619
2025-03-02 54.223987 92.986758 146.101684 221.005390 320.622735 445.323016 609.780172
2025-03-09 48.570984 87.448913 142.330583 221.517188 328.789574 465.070102 647.035625
2025-03-16 44.214183 83.356342 140.166768 223.872960 339.170896 487.590512 687.942927
2025-03-23 41.950674 82.223749 142.045050 231.717331 356.910264 519.780814 741.562473
2025-03-30 39.029354 79.866724 142.085496 237.100021 371.673844 548.716744 792.009053
2025-04-06 34.880867 75.086089 138.171724 236.572110 378.217127 566.898897 828.817327
2025-04-13 31.139785 70.583694 134.331870 235.864577 384.339921 584.507226 865.062892
2025-04-20 29.650854 69.874018 136.326964 243.798899 402.762156 618.921239 923.981064
2025-04-27 27.952140 68.595799 137.282478 250.107994 418.917141 650.447763 979.441087
2025-05-04 26.521010 67.652803 138.667962 257.021242 435.988037 683.393388 1037.140438
2025-05-11 25.035071 66.441048 139.493246 263.015762 451.767963 714.730018 1093.016875
2025-05-18 21.431603 60.587097 132.059798 255.647237 447.551339 718.063865 1110.799676
2025-05-25 18.792788 56.351533 127.080850 251.869294 448.414936 728.345582 1138.021896
2025-06-01 17.045110 53.797395 124.879297 252.431993 455.723544 747.739250 1177.917579
2025-06-08 15.725877 52.030201 123.966415 255.022600 466.099202 771.577935 1224.182258